IEEE 3006 5-2014 en Recommended Practice for the Use of Probability Methods for Conducting a Reliability Analysis of Industrial and Commercial Power Systems《用于工.pdf

1、 IEEE 3006 STANDARDS: POWER SYSTEMS RELIABILITY IEEE Std 3006.5-2014Recommended Practice for the Use of Probability Methods for Conducting a Reliability Analysis of Industrial and Commercial Power Systems IEEE Std 3006.5-2014 IEEE Recommended Practice for the Use of Probability Methods for Conductin

2、g a Reliability Analysis of Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Sponsor Technical Books Coordinating Committee of the IEEE Industry Applications Society Approved 10 December 2014 IEEE-SA Standards Board Abstract: Described in this recommended practice are ways for using probability methods to co

3、nduct a reliability analysis of industrial and commercial power systems. It is likely to be of greatest value to the power-oriented engineer with limited experience in the area of reliability. It can also be an aid to all engineers responsible for the electrical design of industrial and commercial p

4、ower systems. Keywords: availability, common cause failure, IEEE 3006.5, reliability, reliability analysis, time to failure data The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. 3 Park Avenue, New York, NY 10016-5997, USA Copyright 2015 by The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engin

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33、y advised that determination of the validity of any patent rights, and the risk of infringement of such rights, is entirely their own responsibility. Further information may be obtained from the IEEE Standards Association. Copyright 2015 IEEE. All rights reserved. vi Participants At the time this IE

34、EE recommended practice was completed, the Power System Reliability Working Group had the following membership: Robert Arno, Chair Michael Anthony Timothy Coyle Neal Dowling Masoud Pourali Robert Schuerger Michael Simon Joseph WeberAt the time this IEEE recommended practice was submitted by the Powe

35、r System Reliability Working Group to the IEEE-SA Standards Board for approval, the 3006.5 Working Group had the following membership: Masoud Pourali, Chair Michael Anthony Timothy Coyle Neal Dowling Robert Schuerger Michael Simon Joseph WeberThe following members of the individual balloting committ

36、ee voted on this recommended practice. Balloters may have voted for approval, disapproval, or abstention. William Ackerman William Braun Frederick Brockhurst Chris Brooks Bill Brown William Byrd Paul Cardinal Sean Carr Daniel Conte Carey Cook Brian Cramer Alireza Daneshpooy Ray Davis Douglas Dorr Ra

37、ndall Dotson Neal Dowling Timothy Gauthier Randall Groves Song Jin Laszlo Kadar John Kay Yuri Khersonsky Jim Kulchisky Saumen Kundu Ed Larsen Michael Lauxman Wei-Jen Lee Edward McCall T. David Mills Sujeet Mishra Daleep Mohla Edrin Murzaku Daniel Neeser Dennis Neitzel Gearold O. H. Eidhin Lorraine P

38、adden Mirko Palazzo Louie Powell Iulian Profir Annette Reilly Kenneth Rempe Michael Roberts Charles Rogers Daniel Sabin Bartien Sayogo Ted Schoenberg Robert Schuerger Robert Seitz Michael Simon David Singleton Jerry Smith John Spare March Stutzman Michael Swearingen David Tepen Marcelo Valdes Peter

39、Walsh Yingli Wen Kenneth White Jian Yu Shuhui Zhang vii Copyright 2015 IEEE. All rights reserved. When the IEEE-SA Standards Board approved this recommended practice on 10 December 2014, it had the following membership: John Kulick, Chair Jon Walter Rosdahl, Vice Chair Richard H. Hulett, Past Chair

40、Konstantinos Karachalios, Secretary Peter Balma Farooq Bari Ted Burse Clint Chaplin Stephen Dukes Jean-Philippe Faure Gary Hoffman Michael Janezic Jeffrey Katz Joseph L. Koepfinger* David J. Law Hung Ling Oleg Logvinov T. W. Olsen Glenn Parsons Ron Petersen Adrian Stephens Peter Sutherland Yatin Tri

41、vedi Phil Winston Don Wright Yu Yuan *Member Emeritus Also included are the following nonvoting IEEE-SA Standards Board liaisons: Richard DeBlasio, DOE Representative Michael Janezic, NIST Representative Julie Alessi IEEE-SA Content Production and Management Lisa Perry IEEE-SA Technical Program Oper

42、ations viii Copyright 2015 IEEE. All rights reserved. Introduction This introduction is not part of IEEE Std 3006.5-2014, IEEE Recommended Practice for the Use of Probability Methods for Conducting a Reliability Analysis of Industrial and Commercial Power Systems. IEEE 3000 Standards CollectionThis

43、recommended practice was developed by the Technical Books Coordinating Committee of the Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Department of the Industry Applications Society as part of a project to repackage the popular IEEE Color Books. The goal of this project is to speed up the revision process

44、, eliminate duplicate material, and facilitate use of modern publishing and distribution technologies. When this project is completed, the technical material in the thirteen IEEE Color Books will be included in a series of new standardsthe most significant of which will be a new standard, IEEE Std 3

45、000, Recommended Practice for the Engineering of Industrial and Commercial Power Systems. The new standard will cover the fundamentals of planning, design, analysis, construction, installation, startup, operation, and maintenance of electrical systems in industrial and commercial facilities. Approxi

46、mately 60 additional dot standards, organized into the following categories, will provide in-depth treatment of many of the topics introduced by IEEE Std 3000: Power Systems Design (3001 series) Power Systems Analysis (3002 series) Power Systems Grounding and Bonding(3003 series) Protection and Coor

47、dination (3004 series) Emergency, Standby Power, and Energy Management Systems (3005 series) Power Systems Reliability (3006 series) Power Systems Maintenance, Operations, and Safety (3007 series) In many cases, the material in a dot standard comes from a particular chapter of a particular IEEE Colo

48、r Book. In other cases, material from several IEEE Color Books has been combined into a new dot standard. The material in this recommended practice largely comes from Chapter 2 of IEEE Std 493 (IEEE Gold Book). IEEE Std 3006.5 This recommended practice provides the theoretical background to perform

49、basic reliability analysis. Some basic concepts of probability theory are discussed, as these are essential to the understanding and development of quantitative reliability. The objective of this recommended practice is to provide the basic theoretical background for the reliability analysis used in the planning and design of industrial and commercial electric power distribution systems. The design of reliable industrial and commercial power distribution systems is important because of the high cost associated with power outages. It is necessary to consid