1、BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 每日免费获取报告1、每日微信群内分享 5+最新重磅报告；2、每日分享当日 华尔街日报 、金融时报；3、每周分享 经济学人4、每月汇总 500+份当月重磅报告（增值服务）扫一扫二维码关注公号回复 ： 研究报告加入“起点财经”微信群。BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 3 2040BP 2040BPBPBP 2018 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 2018 BP BP40BP20404 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP25 BP BP ( Bob
2、 Dudley ) 5 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 204025 25 70% 6 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 40% 2040 7 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 18 20 24 28 30 32 42 46 17 56 58 60 62 64 23 51 11 8 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 106 110 112 114 2040 119 103 9 109 70 76 80 84 92 94 98 100 67 120 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 11
3、BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 02468101214161820* 12 * 122 05101520253035401970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 20402040 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 42-45 98-9984-87106-107 13 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 05101520 14 * 05101520 05101520 * BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 204025 32-4152-65 40%2040 68-101 15 概览 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 20
4、18 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 17 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 GDP 25 GDP Conventional LNG Russian pipeline 18 % 年均 0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%8%9%10%1990-2016 2016-2040 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 GDP 3.25% 25 2040 17 92 GDP25 25 80% GDP10% 19 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 -3%-2%-1%0%1%2%3%4%5%6%1970-19801980-19901990-20002000-2010
5、2010-20202020-20302030-2040GDP % GDP 20 0.00.51.01.52.01990-15 2015-40ThousandsBP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 1.3% 20 2% GDPGDP 35% 2040 20 660-61 21 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 23 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 Conventional LNG Russian pipeline 24 051015201970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040*
6、0.0%0.5%1.0%1.5%2.0%1990-2016 2016-2040 * % BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 29% 20% 28-29 30-31 32-33 25 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 -0.5%0.0%0.5%1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%1985-2000 2000-15 2015-30 2030-40% * 01234561990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040* 26 * BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 Base case: Fuel by fuel detail 1570% 2040 204027 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%2010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-2040, % 0%1%1%2%2%3%3%4%4%5%5%1970-19801980-19901990-20002000-20102010-20202020-20302030-2040* % 28 * BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 Base case: Fuel by fuel detail 1.9%1.0% 204020% 10%29
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