Introduction to Probability and StatisticsThirteenth Edition.ppt

1、Introduction to Probability and Statistics Thirteenth Edition,Chapter 1 Describing Data with Graphs,Variables and Data,A variable is a characteristic that changes or varies over time and/or for different individuals or objects under consideration. Examples: Hair color, white blood cell count, time t

2、o failure of a computer component.,Definitions,An experimental unit is the individual or object on which a variable is measured. A measurement results when a variable is actually measured on an experimental unit. A set of measurements, called data, can be either a sample or a population.,Example Var

3、iable Hair color Experimental unit Person Typical Measurements Brown, black, blonde, etc.,Example,Variable Time until a light bulb burns out Experimental unit Light bulb Typical Measurements 1500 hours, 1535.5 hours, etc.,How many variables have you measured?,Univariate data: One variable is measure

4、d on a single experimental unit. Bivariate data: Two variables are measured on a single experimental unit. Multivariate data: More than two variables are measured on a single experimental unit.,Types of Variables,Types of Variables,Qualitative variables measure a quality or characteristic on each ex

5、perimental unit. Examples: Hair color (black, brown, blonde) Make of car (Dodge, Honda, Ford) Gender (male, female) State of birth (California, Arizona,.),Types of Variables,Quantitative variables measure a numerical quantity on each experimental unit. Discrete if it can assume only a finite or coun

6、table number of values. Continuous if it can assume the infinitely many values corresponding to the points on a line interval.,Examples,For each orange tree in a grove, the number of oranges is measured. Quantitative discrete For a particular day, the number of cars entering a college campus is meas

7、ured. Quantitative discrete Time until a light bulb burns out Quantitative continuous,Graphing Qualitative Variables,Use a data distribution to describe: What values of the variable have been measured How often each value has occurred “How often” can be measured 3 ways: Frequency Relative frequency

8、= Frequency/n Percent = 100 x Relative frequency,Example,A bag of M&Ms contains 25 candies: Raw Data: Statistical Table:,Graphs,Bar Chart,Pie Chart,Graphing Quantitative Variables,A single quantitative variable measured for different population segments or for different categories of classification

9、can be graphed using a pie or bar chart.,A Big Mac hamburger costs $4.90 in Switzerland, $2.90 in the U.S. and $1.86 in South Africa.,A single quantitative variable measured over time is called a time series. It can be graphed using a line or bar chart.,CPI: All Urban Consumers-Seasonally Adjusted,D

10、otplots,The simplest graph for quantitative data Plots the measurements as points on a horizontal axis, stacking the points that duplicate existing points. Example: The set 4, 5, 5, 7, 6,Stem and Leaf Plots,A simple graph for quantitative data Uses the actual numerical values of each data point.,Div

11、ide each measurement into two parts: the stem and the leaf. List the stems in a column, with a vertical line to their right. For each measurement, record the leaf portion in the same row as its matching stem. Order the leaves from lowest to highest in each stem. Provide a key to your coding.,Example

12、,The prices ($) of 18 brands of walking shoes: 90 70 70 70 75 70 65 68 60 74 70 95 75 70 68 65 40 65,Interpreting Graphs: Location and Spread,Where is the data centered on the horizontal axis, and how does it spread out from the center?,Interpreting Graphs: Shapes,Interpreting Graphs: Outliers,Are t

13、here any strange or unusual measurements that stand out in the data set?,Example,A quality control process measures the diameter of a gear being made by a machine (cm). The technician records 15 diameters, but inadvertently makes a typing mistake on the second entry.,1.991 1.891 1.991 1.988 1.993 1.

14、989 1.990 1.988 1.988 1.993 1.991 1.989 1.989 1.993 1.990 1.994,Relative Frequency Histograms,A relative frequency histogram for a quantitative data set is a bar graph in which the height of the bar shows “how often” (measured as a proportion or relative frequency) measurements fall in a particular

15、class or subinterval.,Relative Frequency Histograms,Divide the range of the data into 5-12 subintervals of equal length. Calculate the approximate width of the subinterval as Range/number of subintervals. Round the approximate width up to a convenient value. Use the method of left inclusion, includi

16、ng the left endpoint, but not the right in your tally. Create a statistical table including the subintervals, their frequencies and relative frequencies.,Relative Frequency Histograms,Draw the relative frequency histogram, plotting the subintervals on the horizontal axis and the relative frequencies

17、 on the vertical axis. The height of the bar represents The proportion of measurements falling in that class or subinterval. The probability that a single measurement, drawn at random from the set, will belong to that class or subinterval.,Example,The ages of 50 tenured faculty at a state university

18、. 34 48 70 63 52 52 35 50 37 43 53 43 52 44 42 31 36 48 43 26 58 62 49 34 48 53 39 45 34 59 34 66 40 59 36 41 35 36 62 34 38 28 43 50 30 43 32 44 58 53,We choose to use 6 intervals. Minimum class width = (70 26)/6 = 7.33 Convenient class width = 8 Use 6 classes of length 8, starting at 25.,Shape? Ou

19、tliers? What proportion of the tenured faculty are younger than 41? What is the probability that a randomly selected faculty member is 49 or older?,Skewed right No.,(14 + 5)/50 = 19/50 = .38(8 + 7 + 2)/50 = 17/50 = .34,Describing the Distribution,Key Concepts,I. How Data Are Generated1. Experimental

20、 units, variables, measurements2. Samples and populations3. Univariate, bivariate, and multivariate data II. Types of Variables1. Qualitative or categorical2. Quantitativea. Discreteb. Continuous III. Graphs for Univariate Data Distributions1. Qualitative or categorical dataa. Pie chartsb. Bar charts,Key Concepts,2. Quantitative dataa. Pie and bar chartsb. Line chartsc. Dotplotsd. Stem and leaf plotse. Relative frequency histograms3. Describing data distributionsa. Shapessymmetric, skewed left, skewed right, unimodal, bimodalb. Proportion of measurements in certain intervalsc. Outliers,