Technology Advisory Council.ppt

1、Technology Advisory Council,Status of Recommendations June 29, 2011,FCC Actions on TAC Recommendations,FCC took immediate action on four recommendations: (Jointly) Municipal Race-to-the-Top Program (#1); Best Practices/Technology Outreach to State & Local Governments (#4) FCC cited the TAC recommend

2、ations in April NOI on Broadband Acceleration and is collecting data on best practices Chairman directed staff (following data collection) to develop timeline for Broadband Acceleration Roadshow and Broadband City USA awardBroadband Infrastructure Executive Order (#2) FCC staff met with White House

3、officials with request for Exec. Order White House is working with FCC input on possible Exec. OrderPromote Small Cell Deployment (#8) FCC staff have begun series of meetings with GSA towards a possible fall workshop on small cell deployments in government buildings FCC will report on progress at Se

4、ptember meeting,FCC Actions on TAC Recommendations,FCC is waiting on further analysis on four recommendations: Advocacy for Rapid Tower Siting (#3) Chairman directed staff to collect and analyze data on shot clock effectiveness in April Broadband Acceleration NOI Staff will give recommendation to Ch

5、airman & Commissioners on response to TAC Rec. #3 after evaluating dataModel an Online Deployment Coordination System (#5) FCC has initiated outreach with stakeholders to determine demand for model and possible design and functionalityNew Metrics to Measure Broadband Network Quality (#6) TAC Working

6、 Group has prepared an initial analysis and recommends a workshopHighlight Stranded PSTN Investments (#7) TAC Working Group has prepared an initial analysis and recommends a workshop,4,Technical Advisory Council Critical Legacy Transition Working Group (CLT-WG),29 June, 2011 Washington, DC,5,CLT-WG,

7、Meeting Agenda,What we addressed Working group members Work product status Report summaries and recommendations TAC discussion Next steps,6,CLT-WG,What the Critical Legacy Transition Working Group Addressed,Transition from the PSTN to an all IP Network and future technologies New Metrics for Broadba

8、nd Quality Quantifying the size of the PSTN transition (Carrier stranded assets) National competitiveness and benchmarking After the PSTN: Non-carrier stranded devices Regulatory impacts and changes required for the transition Economic impacts of the transition,7,CLT-WG,Shahid Ahmed - Accenture Nomi

9、 Bergman - Bright House Networks Lynn Claudy - National Association of Broadcasters Adam Drobot (Co-Chair) - 2M Companies Tom Evslin - Vermont Telecommunications Authority Lisa Gelb - FCC Russ Gyurek Cisco,Greg Lapin - American Radio Relay League (ARRL) Christopher Lewis - FCC Jack Nasielski - Qualc

10、omm Roberto Padovani - Qualcomm Andrew Setos Fox Doug Sicker - FCC David Tennenhouse (Co-Chair) New Venture Partners LLC Bud Tribble - Apple Robert Zitter HBO,Working Group Membership,8,CLT-WG,Product Status,9,CLT-WG,Draft Recommendations and Summaries,10,CLT-WG,Quantifying the PSTN Legacy Transitio

11、n (DRAFT),Problem/Opportunity Addressed:As the number of subscribers on the PSTN falls, the cost per remaining customer increases and the overall burden of maintaining the PSTN becomes untenable. A fast transition can generate significant economic activity and at the same time lower the total cost T

12、odays demand for communications is much broader and requires much greater bandwidth Cord-cutting is already happening organically at impressive rates. Wire-line to Wireless displacement IP based network replacement/substitution for fixed and mobile communications Key Questions: What is the size of t

13、he PSTN transition for Service Providers? How can we further accelerate this transition? Findings: By 2014, the United States will have fewer than 42M access lines Access line losses were nearly 6.6 million between 2Q09 and 2Q10, a drop of 7.3%. By 2014 US consumers will have 31.6 million VoIP lines

14、 accounting for 42.5% of all U.S. access lines. Fixed lines continue to decline; mobile is the preferred choice for voice communication. More than 25% of U.S. consumers aged 18 or older have already given up their voice landline for voice wireless-only service.,11,CLT-WG,Quantifying the PSTN Legacy

15、Transition (DRAFT),Recommendations: The FCC should take steps to prepare for the inevitable transition from the PSTN The FCC should take steps to expedite the transition Provide incentives for operators to provide broadband services (that can support Voice) to rural areas and underserved America Fun

16、d PSAPs so they can accelerate integration with IP/Packet network (so E911 can work with IP) Re-align regulatory requirements to emerging technologies Assist Broadband and OTT providers by working with Security and Emergency Alarms industry associations to push for IP adoption e.g. NFPA 72 Bring the

17、 National Broadband Plan in alignment with the PSTN Sunset timetable and assure that adequate broadband/mobile capability is available everywhere that the PSTN is today,12,CLT-WG,Quantifying the PSTN Legacy Transition (DRAFT),Cord cutting is happening in a rapid pace, especially the younger segments

18、. However, PSTN lines are also dropping organically. As of May 2010, 23% of respondents in a study lived in a mobile-only household The same study also found that 37% of adults in the 18-24 and 30-34 age groups lived in a mobile-only household,Source: National Center for Health Statistics,13,CLT-WG,

19、New Metrics for Broadband Quality (DRAFT),Problem/Opportunity Addressed: As the nation transitions to Next Generation Networks, what kinds of metrics do we need? Findings: An expanding set of applications for broadband networks requires quality and reliability metrics which go beyond simple speed Mu

20、ch work is already underway in this area Metrics for robustness and reliability should take into account the diversity provided by Next Generation Networks.,14,CLT-WG,New Metrics for Broadband Quality (DRAFT),Recommendations:The technical metrics of a replacement of the PSTN need to go beyond just a

21、 measurement of speed Continue to focus awareness on the issues of quality of service and network reliability for broadband services, in addition to speed Participation of industry and consumer groups, as well as additional research and innovation to develop new metrics for quality and reliability s

22、hould be encouraged The importance of the build out of next generation networks in support of public safety should be made clear at National, State and Local levels,15,CLT-WG,After the PSTN: Non-carrier stranded assets (DRAFT),Problem: What functions/services are dependent on the PSTN: Non-carrier d

23、evice adaption for IP will happen much faster if manufacturers know there is a date certain when they can no longer depend on PSTN. The schedule for transition also depends on the pace for broadband/cellular deployment.Findings The majority of these capabilities are already addressed by replacement

24、technologies Impact will be hardest in rural America Clear advantages to accelerating the sunset of the PSTN?,16,CLT-WG,After the PSTN: Non-carrier stranded assets (DRAFT),Recommendations: Explore end dates for the PSTN. Develop timeline to ensure smooth transition which addresses stranded assets As

25、sure that mobile and/or broadband replacements are available everywhere PSTN is currently provided. The need will be greatest in rural areas. Update the National Broadband Plan to support the PSTN transition. Change USF funding and spending to support universal coverage and other social goals. Furth

26、er Investigate emergency service impact to assure a suitable replacement capability. Investigate incentive program for mediation device to bridge older devices w/o PSTN or towards purchasing new equipment (Consumer focused),17,CLT-WG,Regulatory impacts and changes required for the PSTN transition (D

27、RAFT),Problem/Opportunity Addressed: Identify necessary regulatory changes to address the change in technology from the PSTN. Maintain or establish the least restrictive regulatory environment that still protects the public interest. Findings Some regulations protect basic rights of citizens, such a

28、s: Universal communications access for the disabled, the poor, and those in rural areas, Reliable access to emergency services, Consumer protection Some regulations are PSTN specific and should not be retained post transition Standards created by organizations that govern public safety alarm systems

29、 (e.g. NFPA) and protect communications for industries critical to the nations infrastructure (e.g. FISO) must be modified to account for regulatory changes in the communications sector.,18,CLT-WG,Regulatory impacts and changes required for the PSTN transition (DRAFT),Universal access to reliable em

30、ergency communications should continue to be guaranteed by regulation. Access to communications for persons with disabilities should be guaranteed by modification of current regulations to acknowledge ubiquity of personal computers. Consumer protections against misuse of the communications system sh

31、ould continue to be regulated with modifications to acknowledge the different landscape of communications. Funding for PSAPs and Universal Service/Lifeline Assistance should be reformulated to cover all aspects of the future communications system. Regulations that support the “regulated monopoly asp

32、ect” of the PSTN should be abandoned. Two tiers of communications, services that meet regulations and those that do not, should be clearly explained to the consumer, who can then make an informed selection; regulations must make available highly reliable communications for critical industries.,19,CL

33、T-WG,TAC Discussion,20,CLT-WG,Next Steps,Technological Advisory Council,IPv6 Working Group 29 June 2011,IPv6,Driven by exhaust of IPv4 addressing scheme Moves from 32 bit address to 128 bit address IPv6 standard (RFC) published 1998 Last block of IPv4 addresses to regional registry on 2/11 First Reg

34、ional Internet Registry (APNIC) depleted IPv4 4/11 Delay or absence of IPv6 adoption will have impacts Increase use of IPv4 address sharing Security and legal End user experience,22,IPv6 Transition Environment,Positives ISPs prepared to support initial IPv6 transition Awareness is increasing across

35、industry regarding the transition to IPv6 Consumer electronic and retailer awareness IPv6 increasing World IPv6 day, a stress test, largely successful Key participants included: content providers, large MSOs and telecom companies (Facebook, Google, Yahoo, Comcast) “Corner Case” issues observed, very

36、 small % of participants had issues enabling Internet properties with IPv6 Heightened awareness IPv6 usage increased and in some cases remained higher post World IPv6 Day Next IPv6 global test opportunity possible 1H2012,23,IPv6 Transition Environment (continued),Negatives More than simple address c

37、hange Affects features, security, technology, administration IPv6 is not backwards compatible Not an event but an evolution Requirements, technology and user experience Long transition expected although some “verticals” may move towards more of a transition (potential example machine-to-machine) As

38、with IPv4, most consumers are generally unaware of the need for IPv6,24,Evolution Path,IPv6 perceived as net expense, producing expedient decisions ISPs will use both dual stacks AND carrier grade NATs Carrier Grade NATs will provide sub-standard experience and not support critical needs of specific

39、 verticals Vendors will balance between non-IPv6 customer requirements and near-term IPv6 features Objectives not totally aligned between vendors, enterprises, ISPs, and consumers A degree of concern regarding increased Internet complexity Depletion of IPv4 in some regions will highlight the need fo

40、r IPv6 May result in competitive advantage,25,Issues,USGv6, DOD, Industry and other requirements driving vendor decisions No single definition of IPv6 requirements at same point in time Requirements may vary based on adopter and context (ISP versus enterprise) Uncertainty Vendors: what gets built? W

41、hen? Users: many still assessing impact and investment plan Increased risk perceived in new technology and transition complexity New entrants encumbered by lack of IPv4 addresses during transition No strategic plan encompassing technology evolution across sectors,26,TAC Concern,An increasingly compl

42、ex Internet will impact innovation Unknown period of transition Internet is foundation of US innovation Concern for long term competitiveness Goal should be to minimize period of complexity,27,TAC Objectives,Benchmarking Identify IPv6 preparedness and metrics across key Internet sectors Define track

43、-able measure of progress Outline techniques that can be used to gather measurable data points Make recommendations to improve path of evolution,28,Benchmarking Metrics,High level metrics to benchmark IPv6 transition activities Consumer Electronics Network End-user Application Content Services Traff

44、ic Levels (IPv4 vs. IPv6) There is a relationship between the metrics Delays or gaps in one are could have an overall impact to IPv6 transition,29,Consumer Electronics,Home or SOHO router support for IPv6 Percent of devices support IPv6 Number of devices sold or deployed In-premise device support fo

45、r IPv6 Internet-enabled TVs, tablets, game consoles Percent of devices that support IPv6 Number of devices sold or deployed Operating system support for IPv6 Percent penetration per OS,30,Network,IPv6 support by service provider IPv6 support by type of provider Broadband Wireless Tier 1 Number of AS

46、Ns that advertise support for IPv6 Categorization of impediments to IPv6 adoption,31,End-User,Support for IPv6 by end-user By service provider By type of service Consumer electronics capabilities in the premise Intersection of these attributes will determine effective support for IPv6,32,Application

47、s,Support by application type Browser, Email, others Percent support by category Percent support by popularity Intersects with traffic types Support for IPv6 in applications will play into traffic types,33,Content and Services,Support for content and services over IPv6 Government Educational Commerc

48、ial Not for profit Percent of content and service supporting IPv6 by category Percent of traffic that each category represents for all traffic,34,Traffic Levels,Aggregate global and national Internet traffic volumes IPv4 vs. IPv6 IPv6 total Per provider traffic levels,35,Potential Recommendations,Go

49、vernment to be a catalyst for the IPv6 transition Set date by when all government Internet properties must support IPv6 (September 2012?) Ensure IPv6 is required by all government vendors and contractors Establish national objectives for IPv6 transition across sectors Set timelines for government an

50、d industry objectives Develop benchmarking information supporting the IPv6 transition Minimize the transition period Increase awareness of objectives/issues Sharing of information to support decision making Foster collaboration among key stakeholders Government policies to support objectives/transition Issues similar to other legacy transition issues,