ASTM E1121-2007e1 Standard Practice for Measuring Payback for Investments in Buildings and Building Systems《建筑物和建筑物系统的投资回报率测算的标准实施规程》.pdf

1、Designation: E 1121 071Standard Practice forMeasuring Payback for Investments in Buildings andBuilding Systems1This standard is issued under the fixed designation E 1121; the number immediately following the designation indicates the year oforiginal adoption or, in the case of revision, the year of

2、last revision. A number in parentheses indicates the year of last reapproval. Asuperscript epsilon () indicates an editorial change since the last revision or reapproval.1NOTESection 2.2 was editorially corrected in January 2009.1. Scope1.1 This practice provides a recommended procedure forcalculati

3、ng and applying the payback method in evaluatingbuilding designs and building systems.2. Referenced Documents2.1 ASTM Standards:2E 631 Terminology of Building ConstructionsE 833 Terminology of Building EconomicsE 917 Practice for Measuring Life-Cycle Costs of Buildingsand Building SystemsE 964 Pract

4、ice for Measuring Benefit-to-Cost and Savings-to-Investment Ratios for Buildings and Building SystemsE 1057 Practice for Measuring Internal Rate of Return andAdjusted Internal Rate of Return for Investments in Build-ings and Building SystemsE 1074 Practice for Measuring Net Benefits and Net Sav-ings

5、 for Investments in Buildings and Building SystemsE 1185 Guide for Selecting Economic Methods for Evalu-ating Investments in Buildings and Building Systems2.2 Adjuncts:Discount Factor Tables Adjunct to Practices E 917, E 964,E 1057, E 1074, and E 112133. Terminology3.1 DefinitionsFor definitions of

6、terms used in thispractice, refer to Terminologies E 631 and E 833.4. Summary of Practice4.1 This practice is organized as follows:4.1.1 Section 2, Referenced DocumentsLists ASTM stan-dards and adjuncts referenced in this practice.4.1.2 Section 3, DefinitionsAddresses definitions of termsused in thi

7、s practice.4.1.3 Section 4, Summary of PracticeOutlines the con-tents of the practice.4.1.4 Section 5, Significance and UseExplains the signifi-cance and use of this practice.4.1.5 Section 6, ProceduresDescribes step-by-step theprocedures for making economic evaluations of buildings.4.1.6 Section 7,

8、 Objectives, Alternatives, and ConstraintsIdentifies and gives examples of objectives, alternatives, andconstraints for a payback evaluation.4.1.7 Section 8, Data and AssumptionsIdentifies dataneeded and assumptions that may be required in a paybackevaluation.4.1.8 Section 9, Compute Payback PeriodP

9、resents alter-native approaches for finding the payback period.4.1.9 Section 10, ApplicationsExplains the circumstancesfor which the payback method is appropriate.4.1.10 Section 11, LimitationsDiscusses the limitations ofthe payback method.5. Significance and Use5.1 The payback method is part of a f

10、amily of economicevaluation methods that provide measures of economic perfor-mance of an investment. Included in this family of evaluationmethods are life-cycle costing, benefit-to-cost and savings-to-investment ratios, net benefits, and internal rates of return.5.2 The payback method accounts for a

11、ll monetary valuesassociated with an investment up to the time at which cumu-lative net benefits, discounted to present value, just pay offinitial investment costs.5.3 Use the method to find if a project recovers its invest-ment cost and other accrued costs within its service life orwithin a specifi

12、ed maximum acceptable payback period(MAPP) less than its service life. It is important to note that thedecision to use the payback method should be made with care.(See Section 11 on Limitations.)1This practice is under the jurisdiction of ASTM Committee E06 on Perfor-mance of Buildings and is the di

13、rect responsibility of Subcommittee E06.81 onBuilding Economics.Current edition approved April 1, 2007. Published April 2007. Originallyapproved in 1986. Last previous edition approved in 2002 as E 1121 02.2For referenced ASTM standards, visit the ASTM website, www.astm.org, orcontact ASTM Customer

14、Service at serviceastm.org. For Annual Book of ASTMStandards volume information, refer to the standards Document Summary page onthe ASTM website.3Available from ASTM International Headquarters. Order No. ADJE091703.1Copyright ASTM International, 100 Barr Harbor Drive, PO Box C700, West Conshohocken,

15、 PA 19428-2959, United States.6. Procedures6.1 The recommended steps for making an economic evalu-ation of buildings or building components are summarized asfollows:6.1.1 Identify objectives, alternatives, and constraints,6.1.2 Select an economic evaluation method,6.1.3 Compile data and establish as

16、sumptions,6.1.4 Convert cash flows to a common time basis, and6.1.5 Compute the economic measure and compare alterna-tives.6.2 Only the step in 6.1.5, as applied to measuring payback,is examined in detail in this practice. For elaboration on thesteps in 6.1.1-6.1.4, consult Practices E 964 and E 917

17、, andGuide E 1185.7. Objectives, Alternatives, and Constraints7.1 Specify the kind of building decision to be made. Makeexplicit the objectives of the decision maker. And identify thealternative approaches for reaching the objectives and anyconstraints to reaching the objectives.7.2 An example of a

18、building investment problem thatmight be evaluated with the payback method is the installationof storm windows. The objective is to see if the costs of thestorm windows are recovered within the MAPP. The alterna-tives are (1) to do nothing to the existing windows or (2)toinstall storm windows. One c

19、onstraint might be limited avail-able funds for purchasing the storm windows. If the paybackperiod computed from expected energy savings and windowinvestment costs is equal to or less than the specified MAPP,the investment is considered acceptable using this method.7.3 Whereas the payback method is

20、appropriate for solvingthe problem cited in 7.2, for certain kinds of economicproblems, such as determining the economically efficient levelof insulation, Practices E 917 and E 1074 are the appropriatemethods.8. Data and Assumptions8.1 Data needed to make payback calculations can becollected from pu

21、blished and unpublished sources, estimated,or assumed.8.2 Both engineering data (for example, heating loads,equipment service life, and equipment efficiencies) and eco-nomic data (for example, tax rates, depreciation rates andperiods, system costs, energy costs, discount rate, project life,price esc

22、alation rates, and financing costs) will be needed.8.3 The economic measure of a projects worth variesconsiderably depending on the data and assumptions. Usesensitivity analysis to test the outcome for a range of the lesscertain values in order to identify the critical parameters.9. Compute Payback

23、Period9.1 The payback method finds the length of time (usuallyspecified in years) between the date of the initial projectinvestment and the date when the present value of cumulativefuture earnings or savings, net of cumulative future costs, justequals the initial investment. This is called the payba

24、ck period.When a zero discount rate is used, this result is referred to asthe “simple” payback (SPB). The payback period can bedetermined mathematically, from present-value tables, orgraphically.9.2 Mathematical Solution:9.2.1 To determine the payback period, find the minimumsolution value of PB in

25、Eq 1.(t 5 1PBBt2 Ct!/1 1 i!t#5Co(1)where:Bt= dollar value of benefits (including earnings,cost reductions or savings, and resale values,if any, and adjusted for any tax effects) inperiod t for the building or system beingevaluated less the counterpart benefits in pe-riod t for the mutually exclusive

26、 alternativeagainst which it is being compared.Ct= dollar value of costs (excluding initial invest-ment cost, but including operation, mainte-nance, and replacement costs, adjusted for anytax effects) in period t for the building orsystem being evaluated less the counterpartcost in period t for the

27、mutually exclusivealternative against which it is being compared.BtCt= net cash flows in year t,Co= initial project investment costs, as of the basetime,i = discount rate per time period t, and11 1 i!t= formula for determining the single presentvalue factor,NOTE 1 Eq 1 and all others that follow ass

28、ume the convention ofdiscounting from the end of the year. Cash flows are assumed to be spreadevenly over the last year of payback so that partial year answers can beinterpolated.9.2.2 Uniform Net Cash Flows:9.2.2.1 For the case where (BtCt) is the same from yearto year, denoted by (B C), the paybac

29、k period (PB) corre-sponding to any discount rate (i) other than zero can be foundusing Eq 2.PB 5log1/1 2 SPB i!#log1 1 i!(2)whereSPB 5 Co/B 2 C!. (3)When the discount rate is equal to zero,PB 5 SPB (4)However PB is undefined when (SPB i)$1; that is, theproject will never pay for itself at that disc

30、ount rate.9.2.2.2 A calculation using Eq 2 is presented for thefollowing investment problem. What would be the paybackperiod for a project investment of $12 000, earning uniformannual net cash flows of $4500 for six years? A 10 % discountrate applies. First solve for the SPB: $12 000/$4500 = 2.6667.

31、Eq 2 would yield the following:E11210712PB 5log1/1 2 2.6667 0.10!#log 1.105log 1.3636/log 1.1000!5 0.1347/0.0414!5 3.259.2.2.3 Since the payback period (3.25 years) is less than thesix years over which the project earns constant net benefitreturns, and since a shorter MAPP has not been specified, th

32、eproject is considered acceptable.9.2.3 Unequal Net Cash Flows:9.2.3.1 For problems with unequal annual net cash flows, acommon approach to calculating the payback period is toaccumulate the present value of net cash flows year-by-yearuntil the sum just equals or exceeds the original investmentcosts

33、. The number of years required for the two to becomeequal is the payback period.9.2.3.2 This approach is illustrated inTable 1.Aproject withseven years of unequal cash flows (Column 2) is evaluated ata discount rate of 12 %. The net cash flow in each year isdiscounted at 12 % to present value (Colum

34、n 3). Each yearsaddition to the present value is accumulated in Column 4. Thepresent value of net benefits (PVNB) in Column 6 is derived bysubtracting the investment costs (Column 5) from the cumula-tive, discounted, future net cash flows (Column 4). The presentvalue of net cash flows equals investm

35、ent costs at some pointin the fifth year. The payback period can be interpolated asfollows:PB 5 4 years 10 22$3011!$4933 22$3011!5 4.389.2.3.3 Since the payback period is less than the period overwhich the project earns positive net benefits (seven years), andsince a shorter MAPP has not been specif

36、ied, the project isconsidered acceptable.9.2.4 Net Cash Flows Escalating at a Constant Rate:9.2.4.1 To determine the payback period when net cashflows escalate at a constant rate, find the minimum solution ofPB in Eq 5.B2 C!*(t 5 1PB1 1 e!/1 1 i!#t5 Co(5)where:(B C)*= initial value of an annual, uni

37、formly escalating,net cash flow, ande = constant price escalation rate per period tapplicable to net cash flows.9.2.4.2 When e is not equal to i, the payback period can becalculated by using Eq 6.PB 5log1 1 SPB!1 2 1 1 i!/1 1 e!#log1 1 e!/1 1 i!#(6)where SPB = Co/(B C)*.When e is equal to i,PB 5 SPB

38、 (7)However PB is undefined and the project will never pay foritself at discount rate i ifSPB 121 1 i!/1 1 e!# 2 1 (8)9.2.4.3 If the payback period is less than the period overwhich the project yields returns, the project is considered to beeconomically acceptable.9.2.4.4 Eq 6 can be illustrated wit

39、h the following problem.An energy conservation investment of $40 000 yielding energysavings initially worth $8000 annually is to be evaluated withan 8 % energy price escalation and a 12 % discount rate.Applying Eq 6 yields the following:PB 5log1 1 $40 000/$8000!1 2 1.12/1.08!#log 1.08/1.12!5log1 1 5

40、20.0370!#log 0.96435log 0.8150log 0.96435 5.63 years9.3 Estimating Payback Periods with Present-Value Tables:9.3.1 Present-value tables, such as those found in DiscountFactor Tables, can be used in certain cases to estimate paybackperiods without a calculator.9.3.2 Uniform Net Cash Flows:9.3.2.1 The

41、 payback period for a project with uniformannual net cash flows (B C) can be estimated by first finding,TABLE 1 Payback Problem With Unequal Annual Cash Flows(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) = (4) (5)Years(t, s)Net Cash Flows($)(BtCt)DiscountedNet Cash FlowsA($)FBt2 Ct1 1 i!tGCumulativeDiscountedNet Cash Flo

42、ws($)(i 5 1sFBt2 Ct1 1 i!tGInvestmentCost($)(Co)Cumulative PVNB($)(t 5 1sFBt2 Ct1 1 i!tGCo0 0 0 0 50 000 50 0001 10 000 8 929 8 929 41 0712 20 000 15 944 24 873 25 1273 15 000 10 677 35 550 14 4504 18 000 11 439 46 989 3 0115 14 000 7 944 54 933 +4 9336 12 000 6 080 61 013 +11 0137 8 000 3 619 64 63

43、2 +14 632AThe discount rate = 12 %.E11210713in a table of Uniform Present Value (UPV) factors for the givendiscount rate, that UPV factor closest to the ratio ofInitial Investment/B 2 C!* (9)The appropriate payback period is the number of periods (n)corresponding to that UPV factor. Interpolation ca

44、n be used tomore closely approximate the payback period.9.3.2.2 As an example, when the discount rate is 12 %, thepayback period for an initial investment of $100 which returns$15 per year is found as follows: The ratio of $100/$15 = 6.67.This ratio corresponds to a time period (n) of approximately1

45、4.2 years in a table of Uniform Present Value factors based ona 12 % discount rate.9.3.3 Net Cash Flows Escalating at a Constant Rate:9.3.3.1 The payback period for a project with annual netcash flows escalating at a constant rate can be estimated by firstfinding, in a table of Modified Uniform Pres

46、ent Value (UPV*)factors for the given discount rate and escalation rates, thatUPV* factor closest to the ratio of:Initial Investment/B 2 C!* (10)The appropriate payback period is the number of periods (n)corresponding to that UPV* factor. Interpolation can be used tomore closely approximate the payb

47、ack period.9.3.3.2 As an example, when the discount rate is 12 %, thepayback period for an investment of $100 that returns net cashflows initially valued at $15 per year and increasing at 6 % peryear is found as follows: The ratio of $100/$15 = 6.67. Thisratio corresponds to a time period (n) of app

48、roximately 8.6years in a table of Modified Uniform Present Value factorsbased on a 12 % discount rate and 6 % escalation.9.4 Graphical Solutions:9.4.1 The payback period for projects with uniform annualnet cash flows or flows that increase at a constant rate can befound using graphs. The payback gra

49、phs described belowpresent discounted payback as a function of SPB.9.4.2 Uniform Net Cash Flows:9.4.2.1 Fig. 1 plots payback periods up to ten years as afunction of SPB values from zero to four years and discountrates from 1 to 25 %, in 2 % increments. Fig. 2 is similar to Fig.1 except that payback periods are plotted for even values of thediscount rate, 2 to 24 %. Figs. 3 and 4 are the same respectivelyas Figs. 1 and 2, except that SPB values range from 4 to 12years and payback