1、Q/GDW ICS 2 9 . Q/GDW 552 2010 Technical specificationforpowersystem short-termandultra-shortterm loadforecasting 2010 -12-27 2010-12-27 Q/GDWQ/GDW I II 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 2 4.1 2 4.2 2 4.3 3 4.4 3 4.5 3 5 4 5.1 4 5.2 4 5.3 4 5.4 4 5.5 5 A 6 B 7 C 10 11Q/GDW II A B C Q/GDW 1 DL/T1040 2007 PowerLoad Short
2、-Term LoadForecasting 96 96 Ultra-ShortTerm LoadForecasting Historical LoadControl ForecastAlgorithm Library Virtual Forecasting Festivals andHolidays Q/GDW 2 Normal Days DayswithTheSameType Similarity Degree SimilarDays EffectiveTemperature NewInformationMethod Multiple Model Forecasting The Longer
3、Time,The LowerReferenceValue 96 00 : 15 24 : 00 15 Q/GDW 3 Q/GDW 4 , 100% i f i i i L L E L 1 i E i , i f L i MW i L i MW (1 ) 100% d A RMSE 2 2 1 n i i 1 RMSE n E 3 d A RMSE i E 15 i n , 1 1 100% n m d i i A A n 4 m A , d i A i n , 1 100% h f h h h L L B L 5 , 1 100% l f l l l L L B L 6 h B , h f L MW h L MW l B Q/GDW 5 , l f L MW l L MW ( ), , ( ) 1 1 100% n h l i m h l i B A n 7 , ( ) m h l A ( ), h l i B i n
