1、,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Tingting Ma1,2, Alan Porter1, Jud Ready1, Chen Xu1, Lidan Gao3, Wenping Wang1,2, Ying Guo1,2,1 Georgia Institute of Technology 2 Beijing Institute of Technology 3 Chinese Academy of Sciences,The 4th Internati
2、onal Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) 12 & 13 May 2011,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Index,SummaryIntroductionData and methodologyCase study: Dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs)ConclusionAcknowledgeReferences,
3、A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Summary,Research Significance,The great uncertainty of new and emerging sciences and technologiesTo enhance competitive participants technological innovation capability and international competitiveness.,Techn
4、ology Opportunity Analysis Model,Multi-level frameworkPatent data,Result of Case Study,The most promising pathway to advance DSSCsPotential organizations that may improve DSSCs technologyCollaboration opportunitiesMarket forecasting,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitize
5、d Solar Cells for China,Introduction,TOA is proposed by Alan Porter & Michael Detampel,Combing monitoring with bibliometric analysisTo identify emerging technologies for campus-wide strategic planning,Morphology Analysis (Yoon & Park, 2004),Keywords-based morphology analysisPatent data To elicit the
6、 definite promising configuration of technology,Technology Delivery System - (Wenk and Kuehn, 1977),Socio-technical systems modelTo identify the pivotal elements involved in innovationDynamic development processes from R&D to the market,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensi
7、tized Solar Cells for China,Data and methodology,TOA Framework,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Data,Derwent World Patents Index (DWPI),A multi-stage Boolean search strategy,Create main search terms - a variety of DSSC technical terminologyEn
8、rich those search terms - different expressions of DSSCs-closely related technical structures. Check search terms-excluding their retrieval overlap with the main search. Combine the terms and evaluate them-randomly testing and assessing retrieval resultsFurther revise our search terms,Data cleaning
9、Vantagepoint software,3079 records from 1991-2010 on DSSCs,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Methodology,R&D analysis,Define technical structure of morphologyExtract keywords and classify themTechnology component analysis,Competitive analysis,
10、Assignee-technology analysisCo-assignee analysis,Market analysis,Home countries/family countries matrixInternational assignee profiling,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Case study: Dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs),R&D analysis,Define techni
11、cal structure of morphology,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Case study: Dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs),R&D analysis,Extract keywords and classify them,Determine which phrases refer to the component technologiesExtract keywords which are
12、near those component-related phrases are extracted from the patent abstracts and claimsSelect those actually technically related keywords with expertsMerge phrases that refer to the same thing.Classify them according to experts opinion,Dye, dyes, pigment, sensitizer, sensitizers, photosensitizer,Rut
13、henium dye, ruthenium complex dye, ruthenium, ruthenium based dye, Ru dye, metal complex dye, metal-complex pigment, N3, N719, organic dye, organicmetallic dye, organic dyes, nature dye, azo dye,azo,Ruthenium dye, metal complex dye, N3, N719, Organic dye, organicmetallic dye,nature dye, azo dye,Meta
14、l complex dye:-Ruthenium dye,N3, N719, azo dye Organic dye-Organicmetallic dye, nature dye, ,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Case study: Dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs),Global trend analysis of component technologies,A Technology Opportun
15、ities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Case study: Dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs),Component technologies analysis of China,Technology portfolio map,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Case study: Dye-sensitized
16、 solar cells (DSSCs),Countries patent ratio on important DSSCs component technologies,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Case study: Dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs),Competitive analysis,Green nodes assigneesYellow nodes technologiesLines lin
17、k assignees and technologies if they coincide in patents. Thickness of lines represents occurrencesthicker lines represent a higher count of occurrences.,Most of the organizations are Japanese companies Three Chinese organizations: CASX, CHSC, and IRICCASX - organic dye & gel electrolyteCHSC - carbo
18、n counter-electrodeIRIC - platinum counter-electrode & TiO2.,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Case study: Dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs),Competitive analysis,Assignee-technology analysis on dye,Co-Assignee map in China,Co-Assignee map in
19、China,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Case study: Dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs),Market analysis,Top assignees of China that have applied for patents abroad,Home countries/family countries matrix,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model
20、: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Chinas technology opportunities on DSSCs,R&D opportunities,TiO2 - organic dye - gel electrolyte - platinum counter electrode predict to be the most promising pathway of DSSCs in recent future. Enhancing competitiveness by developing organic dye, gel
21、electrolytes and platinum counter-electrodes,CAS Changchun Applied Chemical Institution is the most potential organization.Strengthen collaboration with the Ecole Polytechnique Fdrale de LausanneKeep seeking more cooperation with global leading organizationsContinuously seeking and producing new, pr
22、actical, and efficient dyes,Market opportunities,Chinas near-future market will be focused mainly in the home country.Building Integrated Photovoltaic (BIPV) for country side.China has an especially strong capability in dye research,Competitive opportunities,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model
23、: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Chinas challenges on DSSCs,Japan and South Korea is the most potential competitive in future market and is on the way of commercializationChina still has a long way to go for significant commercialization of DSSCs globally It is important to encourag
24、e more companies to become involved in DSSCs. China might also consider ways to promote collaboration between companies and academic institutions.,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Tips,This research implements a special in-depth analysis on D
25、SSCs component technologies rather than more “macro” analyses. The keywords selection and classification is challenging but benefits from inputs by knowledgeable colleagues. It is important to carefully identify technology morphology with experts according to the purpose of that analysis.,A Technolo
26、gy Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,Acknowledgements,This research was undertaken at Georgia Tech drawing on support from the National Science Foundation (NSF) through the Center for Nanotechnology in Society (Arizona State University; Award Numbers 05311
27、94 and 0937591) and the Science of Science Policy Program“Measuring and Tracking Research Knowledge Integration” (Georgia Tech; Award No. 0830207). The findings and observations contained in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundati
28、on.,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,References,Porter, A.L., and Detampela, M.J. (July 1995). Technology opportunities analysis, Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 49(3): 237-255 Porter, A.L., and Cunningham, S.W. (2005). Tech Mini
29、ng: Exploiting new technologies for competitive advantage. New York: Wiley.Trappey, C.V., Wua, H.-Y., Taghaboni-Duttab, F., and Trappey, A.J.C. (January 2011). Using patent data for technology forecasting: China RFID patent analysis. Advanced Engineering Informatics, 25(1): 5364.Roper, A.T., Cunning
30、ham, S.W., Porter, A.L., Mason, T.W., Rossini, F.A., and Banks, J. Forecasting and management of technology. New York: John Wiley.Porter, A.L., Youtie, J., Shapira, P., Schoeneck, D.J. (2008). Refining search terms for nanotechnology. Journal of nanoparticle research, 10(5): 715728Wenk, E. Jr. and K
31、uehn, T. J. (1977). Interinstitutional networks in Technological Delivery Systems, in: J. Haberer (Ed.), Science and Technology Policy (pp. 153175), Lexington, MA: Lexington Books.Oregan, B. and Gratzel, M. (October 1991). A low-cost, high-efficiency solar-cell based on dye-sensitized colloidal TiO2
32、 films. Nature, 353(6346): 737740.Yoon, B.and Park, Y. (February 2005). A systematic approach for identifying technology opportunities: keyword-based morphology analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 72(2): 145160Martnez, C. (6 June 2010). Patent families: When do different definitio
33、ns really matter? Scientometrics, 86(1): 3963.Yuhang, K. and Jingqin, S. (August 2008). Visualization identify of technology innovation opportunities: empirical analysis based on patent bibliometric. Studies in Science of Science, 26(4): 695-699Solar & Energy (March 2011). DSSC Technology Trend and
34、Market Forecast (20082015). Available at http:/ (Accessed on 4 April, 2011).Propp, T. and Rip, A. (unpublished). Assessment tools for the management of new and emerging science and technology: state-of-the-art and research gaps.Grtzel, M. (2009). Recent advances in Sensitized Mesoscopic Solar Cells.
35、 Accounts of Chemical Research, 42(11): 17881798.Jose, R., Thavasi, V., and Ramakrishna, S. (February 2009). Metal oxides for Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells. Journal of the American Ceramic Society, 92(2): 289301.,A Technology Opportunities Analysis Model: Applied to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells for China,THANK YOU,Welcome any guidance,
